Will the high temperature in New York City be 72-73° on Oct 3, 2026?

NYC High Temp: Will Saturday Hit 72–73°F?

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

43%▲ +3 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 9:06 PM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 1d 3h · $2K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▲ +3 pp / 1h
Last day: No reading for this period yet

Why: The YES probability has moved 10 points higher over the past hour. No significant movement was recorded over the prior 24-hour period, making the recent one-hour shift the notable development heading into Saturday.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be evening NWS forecast updates or overnight model guidance for the New York metro area. Official high temperature reporting on Saturday afternoon will ultimately determine resolution.

How it settles

Outcome: New York City · 72° to 73°
Settles: Oct 4, 1:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $2K traded
Updated: Oct 2, 9:06 PM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.