Weather● On air today

Will the high temperature in San Antonio be <79° on Oct 2, 2026?

San Antonio High Temperature: Will It Stay Below 79°?

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

27%▼ −34 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 4:52 PM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 5h 35m · $5K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▼ −34 pp / 1h
Last day: No reading for this period yet

Why: The YES probability has moved 34 points lower over the past hour, reflecting a notable shift in how traders are positioning heading into the final hours of this weather market.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be the official high temperature reading as recorded at the San Antonio observation station for October 2. Late-afternoon readings will likely be decisive.

How it settles

Outcome: San Antonio · 78° or below
Settles: Oct 3, 2:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $5K traded
Updated: Oct 2, 4:52 PM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.