Weather● On air today

Will it rain in New York City on Oct 2, 2026?

NYC Rain Odds Drop Sharply as October 2 Unfolds

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

9%▼ −1 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 9:06 PM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 3h 52m · $66K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▼ −1 pp / 1h
Last day: ▼ −33 pp / 24h

Why: The market has moved 66 points lower in the past hour and 18 points lower over 24 hours, reflecting a notable downward shift in rain probability as the day progresses.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be afternoon weather reports or any change in cloud cover and atmospheric conditions across the New York metro area before the market closes tonight.

How it settles

Outcome: New York City
Settles: Oct 3, 1:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $66K traded
Updated: Oct 2, 9:06 PM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.