Will it rain in Boston on Oct 2, 2026?

Rain Chances in Boston Today: Market at 34%

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

16%▼ −3 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 9:06 PM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 3h 50m · $112K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▼ −3 pp / 1h
Last day: ▼ −30 pp / 24h

Why: Over the past hour, the probability moved 13 points higher. Over the past 24 hours, it is 12 points lower overall, reflecting shifting sentiment as the day has progressed.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be afternoon forecast updates from NWS Boston, local radar trends, and any incoming weather reports from Logan Airport or downtown Boston observation stations.

How it settles

Outcome: Boston
Settles: Oct 3, 1:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $112K traded
Updated: Oct 2, 9:06 PM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.